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In the 18th century the city of Glasgow amassed great wealth through trade with the New World. Opinions abound in the history books of why the Glasgow Tobacco Lords achieved a virtual monopoly on the weed trade, but it came down to one fundamentals- the Clyde formed a safe West-facing port best placed to take advantage of the trade winds of the arduous Atlantic crossing.

Glasgow's Merchants were undoubtedly clever chaps, but the city became the 2nd city of the Empire largely due to Geographic fluke. Oil rig in orange skylineIt wasn't superior national intellectual horsepower which created Scotland's coal reserves which fuelled its Industrial revolution and drove the British Empire. Likewise, the discovery of recoverable oil in the North Sea was not the result of an economic development masterplan.

Let's face it - we're just jammy. It rains a bit, but look on the bright side - Scotland always seems to be in the right place to receive a disproportionate share of Europe's natural resources.

With the growth of investment in mega-datacenters, Scotland has yet another chance to create a successful industry by capitalising on its natural resources and geography.

This time the world order of the new industry is shaped by energy availability and security, availability of plentiful electricity generated from renewable sources, geopolitical issues of where to safely place important data, and of course proximity to dark fibre which connects the data and applications to the Internet peering points and population centres of the Eurasian land mass.

Europe's economic development authorities are quietly angling for this business by pitching potential datacenter sites to the likes of Microsoft, Google, Yahoo, Sun, Oracle and others closer to home such as BT and Fujitsu. In this competition the prizes are significant - with successful sites seeing many-year investments of $100 millions with benefits for the local economies involved, their power/communications infrastructure and to the ecosystem of companies involved in the creation and supply chain of these 100 acre, million server monsters. DublinSwitzerland, Iceland and most other continental European nations with energy independence and/or a reasonable renewable energy capacity are already making a strong play.

Scotland of course already has a long history of Hydro generation, relevant experience in North Sea exploration, and has a large share of Europe's wind, wave and tidal generation capacity.

In larger datacenter projects in North America, the appearance of a big name such as Microsoft has triggered the creation of a cluster of similar datacenter investments, sparking economic diversity and regeneration in some rural areas. Quincy, WA, now has Microsoft, Yahoo, Ask.com, Intuit and others on the way. Likewise datacnters from Microsoft and IBM across Ireland have led inward investment of nearly €1 Billion. But unlike Washington state, Scotland doesn't have earthquakes, and unlike Ireland it does not have problems meeting the industries demand for electricity.

Just as West-facing trading ports flourished in the Age of Empire, there are specific sites in Scotland's which are set to flourish in the Software + Services,/Cloud Computing/Datacenter age. Ecclefechan & Lockerbie in Dumfries and Galloway is one such location. Scotland's roundwood forestry thinnings and sustainable crops of willow find their way to the largest Biomass power station in Europe, E-On Steven Croft  - visible from the M74 motorway. When Europe ultimately runs out of oil and gas, Scotland's forests will continue to provide a sustainable energy source.

Solway BarrageAs a bonus, the area has planning permission for around 200MWs of windmills, and the proposed site of the 300MW Solway tidal barrage is not far away. There are also multiple UK National Grid interconnects nearby. Put the Biomass and these interconnect assets together, and you have multiple redundant, always on (the last thing you want in the 24/7 datacenter industry is a power outage), power supplies with capacity in the 100MW region which are available today.

Coincidentally, the area is flooded with data fibre trunk routes due to the adjacency of power transmission rights of way, and the proximity of the West coast main train line.

So once again Scotland finds itself again in the enviable position of possessing all the natural and technological assets required to build a new industry.  Lets hope that it can prioritise the steps required to develop this new industry in the face of swift-moving competition...

Despite the tightening purse strings of the new Credit Crunch Austerity Britain, the Ferry family coffers were recently opened to purchase a new PC.IMAGE_007

Despite regular complaints from cost centre no.1, investment in mobile phones, MP3 players and other such essential paraphernalia of modern life is a rare event.

Having finally caved in to demands from Mrs. Ferry for a laptop PC which could be used whilst travelling, I was delighted to pick up the Asus EEE 701 4G PC for a grand total of £212 incl. VAT. Its intended to be a "chuck in the bottom of the bag" laptop for Mrs. Ferry so that she is always connected

Although the EEE could be considered a very low end device in terms of performance and spec (it has a very small hard disc and a measly 512KB of onboard RAM - a laptop spec typical of 2 years ago) its 2 biggest attractions are undoubtedly its low cost, and its diminutive size.

Its only 22*16*2 cm, about half the size of an A4 notepad (see a picture of it next to its larger, and rather more expensive big brother, my Lenovo T61p). Nevertheless it still manages to have a workable keyboard and screen, a webcam, and all the usual laptop bits & pieces

IMAGE_008So here we have a fully functional laptop, useable for Microsoft Office and email, for about the cost of a decent mobile phone.

On a trip from Aberdeen to Edinburgh last week (courtesy of National Express trains with their free wireless) I had a very productive 2 hours on the wee Asus, so I have commandeered it as a general use lightweight laptop. As I am often on my pins running customer discussions, its also been used to drive PowerPoint presentations .

There are a few compromises of course - the 7" 800*480 screen clips the view of some websites and applications, and will not suit everyone. Likewise the low price is in part due to it shipping with a customised Linux desktop equipped with Firefox and OpenOffice.

This may be useable for general note taking and home email, but after trialing it for a day, it was obvious that I, like the vast majority of business users, am too reliant on the Office applications (particularly Outlook 2007). In any case, Mrs. Ferry found the unfamiliar Linux environment unusable. As its only got a 4Gb hard disk (flash-based incidentally - no moving parts) and low end processor, its tricky to squeeze Windows Vista on it so I went for old faithful Windows XP.

Although the low-cost laptop initiatives such as one laptop per child have been targeted at education and developing nations, one could easily see devices such as the Asus appealing to the hardened road warrior/executive - enabling him to carry a laptop in situations where he wouldn't normally do so due to risk or convenience. this may be one of the factors behind the announcement of Microsoft ongoing support for Ultra low-cost personal computers . As the announcement says, this is targetted at "companion devices with limited hardware capabilities" which is how I use my Asus - its convenient for my trekking around Scotland, but like Charlton Heston and his Rifle, you could only wrest my 4GB Vista 17" widescreen Lenovo laptop out of my dying fingers.

Some will prefer more powerful fully functional Ultra-Mobile PCs which like those from Samsung, Sony, and more recently HTC with its Shift. But I believe the attraction of these small but perfectly formed devices is their "disposability" - you would think twice about checking email on your £700 small but perfectly formed UMPC whilst sipping a White Tornado in the Saracen's Head, but you might risk your £200 Asus.

Since toting my Asus around the offfices of Corporate Scotland, yours truly seems to have become a minor fashion trendsetter- with several others follwing suit. If you too want to be part of the in-crowd, follow the steps below:

  • Asus EE 701 4G available at Dixon's tax free at the airport for £212.
  • Install Windows XP - follow the instructions at eeuser.com , you can download the drivers at asus.com and there are all sorts of other useful utilities up there
  • Suggest installing Office 2007. The simplified Ribbon user interface uses less screen "real estate" than the many toolbars of Office 2003 - important on the Asus small screen
  • Since we have gone retro with Windows XP, you will need to download the indispensible Windows Desktop Search component - Office install will prompt you to do this
  • Instead of the hugely bloated Adobe Acrobat software, use the single exe file free PDF reader from Sumatra and save yourself the disk space
  • Best get yourself a Class 6 SD memory card as Windows XP and Office will fill the best part of your 4Gb hard disk. Ebuyer have a suitable 8GB SD card for £20
  • Since this is a "companion device" you may wish to keep data in synch with your other PC - I use the excellent Live FolderShare service to seamlessly synch up Gigabytes of data between home PC, work laptop and Asus EEE

Followers of the Trumpet know of my missionary zeal for Office Live. This at-a-stroke solution to web site and business applications for small businesses on blog and has won a strong following amongst Scotland's SME's with around 3500 sign-ups as of January.

My interest was initially driven by the vested interest of getting Mrs. Ferry's property business Kurekodu online. At the cost of a few hours effort I banged up a reasonable looking website to drive a healthy supply of web sales leads and a extranet to drive customer billing more efficiently. I quickly realised that the proposition is unbeatable - a free domain, company email and  a simpleton website editor giving smart looking site within hours all for nowt.

The proposition has further improved since February's rename to Office Live Small Business.

As well as an easing of the signup process (punters can now sign up without having to enter a credit card or decide on a domain name) this heralded a significant rework of the Office Live Web designer. The upgrade makes the web design process more flexible for the partner (who can switch on the advanced web design features which might be scary for the small biz punter) but keeps things simple for the non-technical user with an Office-style user interface.

Integrated advertising, email marketing and comprehensive analytics make it possible for the Office Live platform to be a serious web channel for the on-line business. Take-up of OLSB by small companies needing a professional looking website is accelerating, look at www.justwinches.co.uk and  as well as web phenomenon www.kurekodu.co.uk .

However, there is evidence that most would rather have a web artist do if for them - so its Do It For Me rather than DIY. Several web design companies have launched services targeting Office Live website design, including fixed price web design and support packages including  Coderight (with a bunch of custom templates, and ChooBoo Live who build the whole thing for you and charge ongoing support for changes and other value adds.

In Scotland business startups increased 5.3% last year. Many are the smallest sole trader/small businesses not VAT or PAYE registered for whom this kind of web-in-a-box service is most relevant. There are estimated to be 277,000 of these in Scotland so 3500 Scottish subscribers is significant for this technology-shy sector.

Office Live Small Business includes a number of useful business applications. These have been enhanced in v2, with the simple Contact Manager perhaps the most useful - to share contacts amongst employees. As the small business builds its clientele, these contacts can be used to drive the closed loop email marketing feature. Leads can enter their details through the public website using an integrated "Contact me" form. This example of web front end/business app back end integration showcases the Forms Designer/List Publisher aspect of Office Live Small Business - its simple to publish forms on the website which drive business applications at the back end - likewise its easy to publish data to the public website. Previously such web site functionality would require custom development which is out of the reach of most small businesses.

Writing powerful business applications which take advantage of the Office Live public website and back office SharePoint platform is the larger opportunity for partners. This is "cloud computing" for the small business. Crafty web developers can build powerful applications by mashing Sharepoint's data with their own and 3rd party web services. 

Many Microsoft partners are making a very good living building on the SharePoint platform. Office Live Small business is an opportunity to package those skills and offer them at scale to small businesses. In response to demand from partners, the Office Live team have included a solution packager in v2 - this allows a partner to package up all solution elements including public website templates, business applications (including data schema in the form of SharePoint lists, business logic in SharePoint workflow, etc) and provision these to a new customer's office live subscription.

For the full lowdown on Office Live v2 a good resource is the reviewers guide - further insight from Chris's Unofficial Office Live page and from Darren Johnston, Solution Canvas ace developer of Justia who promises he will start blogging about Office Live again just as soon as he is a bit less busy.

Trends of consolidation can be seen in the migration of servers to fewer, larger more automated datacenter locations, and also in consolidation of the units within those datacenters.

With the availability of advanced management tools and virtualisation techniques it's inefficient for engineers to be fiddling around commissioning individual servers, storage and racks. In a consolidated datacenter world, Prefabricated containers containing maintenence-free redundant units of datacenter fabric and processing power are more practical.

Rackable, SUN and others have helped drive container datacenter designs, and this commodity-based approach is now entering the mainstream. Microsoft's annoucement at the Data Center World conference last week was of a substantial 100+MW datacenter facility filled entirely with Microsoft C-Blox container datacenter.

Although this use of containerised datacenters in a Microsoft mega-facility is the first of its kind, the modular approach is also interesting for Scotland, as proposed in an earlier post on the renewable Energy Datacenter.

As James Hamilton, of Microsoft's Live  Platform Services team points out when considering where to locate computing power, "multiple smaller datacenters, regionally located, could prove to be a competitive advantage". Scotland's natural advantages around cheap power potential, addressing heat density and geopolitical position should make it worthy considering as a location for Europes datacenters.

Microsoft To Mainstream Containerized Data Centers With C-Blox -- Data Center -- InformationWeek

The consolidation of Virtualisation vendors continues with Microsoft's annoucement of the acquisition of Kidaro . This follows Microsoft's acquisition of Calista Technologies, Citrix acquisition of XenSource and VMWare's acquisition of Thinstall.

Kidaro's Managed Workspace toolset will add an interesting capability to the Desktop Optimisation Pack - it delivers a seamless experience for users making use of Virtual PC. Wherever apps require a legacy OS, or have specific needs for isolation, Virtual PC can be a good solution. The Kidaro tools add a unified admin console, optimised delivery of the Virtual PC images, and the app is all delivered into a seamless window to the users desktop. In  the words of the Microsoft Virtualisation team

Kidaro's Managed Workspace product allows enterprise data and applicatiosn to run within a "transparent virtual machine wrapper." Kidaro's product is built upon Microsoft Virtual PC, and the wrapper provides "enterprise class" management, deployment and a clean user experience. You can read more on Kidaro's site. With this acquisition, the wrapper becomes Microsoft Virtual PC.

Microsoft's Calista acquisition in Jan was aimed at solving a different problem - it focuses on the model where the Vista desktop OS has been virtualised. Centralised desktops are delivered to users via Terminal Services and RDP - which till now has resulted in an eroded user experience for graphics and video intensive apps. With the Calista tools...

users will enjoy the same rich user experience as with a locally executing desktop: Full 3D graphics with support for DirectX, Vista Aero and WPF applications, full frame rate video with 100% coverage for all media types, and fully synchronized audio.

Added together with the Softricity toolset, also part of the Microsoft Desktop Optimisation Pack, Microsoft have lined up easily the most comprehensive solution set for enterprise centralised desktop management to leverage Virtualisation in all its flavours.

 Windows Virtualization Team Blog

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Internet Villages International announced that they will constructing datacentres on their 140 acre site in Lockerbie. The announcement of the creation of more datacentre space is hardly newsworthy, but there are a few unusual aspects to this project:

  • it will bring hi-tech employment to an area of Scotland not associated with the IT industry (500 jobs was mentioned), stimulating the local economy
  • it will take advantage of renewable energy sources including the local 44MW Biomass power station and various wind turbines in Dumfries and Galloway
  • the waste heat from the datacentres will used by local housing and horticultural businesses

Perfect.

Article, £600m green investment for Scotland : Hi-Tech Scotland

The economy is clearly dependant on energy. Anything which impacts price or availability of oil, gas, coal or electricity has a profound effect on business, government, and society.

When NPower raised consumer gas and electricity tariffs by on average 17% this January, there was widespread outcry that a typical customer will now pay around £1000 per year for gas and electricity. These rises are largely the result of increasing wholesale gas and coal prices - the UK generates 40% of its electricity from gas, with North Sea Gas production in decline.

Press and politicians have been quick to point out the impact on Scottish households. Likewise, the impact on rising energy costs are clear in industries involving freight transportation and manufacture have been noted through fuel price demonstrations in 2000 and 2007.

Energy - the hidden cost

However, its not clear that business leaders outside these industries have a clear understanding of the impact of energy costs. This is perhaps because it is difficult to measure costs for all energy use. Different forms of energy are used (and therefore operating costs are rising) in many activities and facilities such as staff air and road transportation, and building facilities costs. A significant facilities cost is the increasing electricity required to run desktop and server computing and communications equipment.

In the last decades, ICT has become critical to society, particularly for the UK with its thriving Financial and Services sectors which are heavily dependant. ICT systems are expected to be available 24/7 to support the increasingly globalised economy, and Communications and Internet innovations have opened new markets and provided new partnering opportunities for business.

However, in the same period, the energy needs of this technology have transformed - the number of Personal Computers has increased exponentially, and semiconductor processors have doubled in complexity, processing power every 2 years. Hard disk storage has followed a similar trend. All of this has come at the expense of growing power consumption and costs.

This cost is now significant - it is estimated that around 2% of electricity generated in the USA is used to run computing equipment in datacentres and a $7.2B annual cost to business worldwide (IDC 2005, with predicted $12.7B by 2010. Power doubled from 2000 to 2005). Any business providing PCs to employees and running business applications on server equipment is incurring such costs, although they may be buried in the electricity bill to appear as a line item on the annual report.

A similarly hidden cost is that people travel further and more frequently to support business in this environment. This cost increases with fuel costs, not to mention the lost opportunity costs of staff stuck at airports or waiting in the tailback to cross the Forth Road Bridge.

So, business is under a double whammy of increasing energy requirements, and rising energy costs.

Market and regulatory forces

Fortunately, technology also presents some opportunities to reduce energy usage. Consumers understand this, as the growing trade in low energy light bulbs, solar heating panels and wind turbines at your local B&Q will testify. In the same vein, consumers are beginning to select products and services based on environmental impact, or at least reputation.

The flipside of rising business energy requirements is of course increased carbon emissions, or carbon footprint - but for many businesses such issues have so far been of more interest to the Corporate Responsibility Officer than the FD or MD. This will change - if potential cost savings are not sufficient incentive to shift focus onto energy consumption issues, it's likely that UK businesses will soon be compelled to do so by statute.

The Westminster government Climate Change Bill, drafted in March 2007, is likely to pass into law this year and will commit the UK to reducing its carbon dioxide emissions by 30% by 2020, and 60% by 2050. Although it is too early to say precisely what impact this will have on business,  it is clear that it will introduce some form of individual emissions capping, and devise tax, subsidy and trading instruments for businesses. it may also  require the adoption of technology which reduce energy use. Likewise the Scottish Government's emphasis on encouraging a Greener Scotland. is likely to strongly influence energy use in the coming years.

Understanding IT power requirements

As stated above, IT equipment is a growing offender in energy use. To put this in perspective, consider a typical Scottish Medium sized organisation with a high dependancy on ICT, with 1000 PC devices and 100 server devices running in its datacentres.

The IT world has not historically prioritised energy efficiency. As a result, many computing devices consume lots of power even when they are idle - crudely put this is not unlike revving your engine at 7000rpm even when stationary at the traffic lights.

At the worst case, these PCs are left switched on when not in use - not unusual in a corporate environment. Each PC (including LCD monitor) might consume the equivalent of a 100W light bulb, with mounts up to 876KWh per year, or around £87 based on 10p per KWh. That adds up to around £87,000 for our 1000 desktop company. For most companies, this is not measured, and has crept up over the years as PCs have increased in number.

Meanwhile, the 100 server devices are housed in an expensive datacentre facility. A reasonable guesstimate is that, taking into account all cooling and auxiliary equipment, each running server consumes about 1kW. This translates to around £87,600 pa.

Our typical medium sized organisation has a power bill of £174,000 from computing equipment alone. A back of the envelope calculation of greenhouse gas emissions from generating this electricity gives us around 1.2 Metric tonnes of carbon dioxide emissions- about the same as 100 motor cars

Although this power bill may not be a significant fraction of net profit today, planning for an increased energy cost  and stricter control over emissions may drive organisations to measure and take steps to control these costs today.

Reducing IT power requirements

Fortunately there are some practical steps that organisations can take to address these issues. Most of these pivot on reducing power when devices are idle.

For our PC desktops, real efficiencies can be made by either powering down the system at night, or weekend, and for more modern PCs "feathering the throttle" so the hardware consumes less energy.

Switching off can be difficult to enforce by policy, as employees dislike waiting 3 minutes whilst their PC switches on and "boots up". So organisations using modern PCs and the Vista desktop operating system can take advantage of technologies such as "Sleep mode" to automatically put the PC in a very low power state after idle, and "Superfetch" to make sure it can start up within seconds. Based on the PC being idle outside of the 5 day working week, this could save about £60 per PC pa.

All the figures above are based on worst case energy usage, and best case energy savings. To have a chance of realising these savings, it is necessary to take steps to automate and control power management across the whole organisation.

One such example is  Microsoft partner 1E who worked with Peterborough City Council to implement "Night Watchman" and Microsoft System Centre management software. This organisation of 4,500 staff found that 30% of PCs were being left switched on costing between £40 and £60 per machine. The solution saved the organisation £50,000 per annum in electricity costs, supported management reporting of energy use, and realised automation and efficiency benefits for the IT department. To estimate how much these steps could save your organisation, you can enter your vital statistics into 1E's cost calculator.

Running out of space

In the example above, 100 servers may seem like a too many for an organisation with 1000 employees, but personal experience has shown it to be not unusual. This "server sprawl"  is because it has been simpler for IT Managers to deploy one application per server, so that they can isolate each application and maximise its reliability. The side effect is poor energy efficiency - servers may be running at a tenth of their processing capacity, but as they remain switched on 24/7 they use most of their peak power requirements. To extend the high revving car analogy, we are doing 5000rpm and never take it out of 1st gear.

IT Managers take this route because servers are cheap - but IDC studies suggest that in by the turn of the decade, energy will account for around 40% of the overall cost of running a server, taking into account hardware procurement and staff costs. And the issue will get worse as server numbers increase by 15% each year - a factor which has led many organisations datacenters to run out of space and test the grids capacity to deliver power to their facility.

Virtualisation is a strategy which allows these servers numbers to be consolidated to "virtual images". This technique allows several physical servers to be replaced by one, and yet preserve the application isolation and reliability which IT Managers desire. With the appropriate analysis, discipline and control, it is possible to consolidate with a 10:1 ratio, and reduce power requirements by a factor of 10 at a stroke.

Furthermore, by using clever management software, its possible to be far more flexible in when each "virtual image" is actually enabled or "switched on", leading to further power efficiencies.

As with most ideas that sound too good to be true, the reality is not quite so simple. By putting "all the eggs in one basket" through virtualisation and consolidation, it becomes critical to effectively control, manage and automate everything about the server environment, in a way which was not necessary when each application ran inefficiently on its own server. For most organisations, this necessitates an investment in revised procedures & processes,  and software tools to control the virtualised environment.

Microsoft's approach to this exercise is the Infrastructure Optimisation model, and the System Center family of management tools.

Global datacentres are a focus of the IT press these days - for example the recent $500M investment in a 27MegaWatt datacenter in Dublin by Microsoft. It's now accepted that energy costs are a big issue for the IT industry, and that IT is a significant factor in planning forward energy demand.

When you are putting 30,000 servers into an air conditioned hangar, it makes sense to use all  means of reducing energy costs - like Hydro power generation, using reflective paint, and even siting the datacentre in countries with mild climates and ample supplies of water for chilling.

Such exotic means are beyond all but the largest organisations like Microsoft, Google, Yahoo - So does this have any relevance to the average business?

For the canny Chief Exec, there could be some opportunity to impact the bottom line by reducing the energy bill. So thinks Charles Scott, MD of Microsoft Gold Certified Partner Quorum network Resources Ltd.

As the driving force behind a highly successful and growing business, Charles knows the importance of watching the pennies. That's one of the factors which has helped him achieve a base of very loyal customers, retain highly skilled and motivated staff, and build profitable enterprise without taking on external investors or debt. His canny approach also means that he is never known to miss an event involving free food and drink.

So when Quorum's expansion recently took them to swish new head offices in central Edinburgh, Charles was horrified by the huge utilities bills. Quorum are in many ways a typical small/medium business, with around 14 employees. However, their software development and customer's server hosting activities mean that around 11 servers are humming away 24/7.

So lets assume that the energy consumed by a server, all its attached paraphernalia, and the cooling required to ensure that the server room doesn't turn into a Turkish sauna, is about 200 Watts. With 11servers, and electricity at around 12p per kWh, then Charles could be shelling out about £2500 per year on the leccy bill just to run the servers!

This may not be the biggest bill in running a successful enterprise, but it is clearly efficacious to contain it and perhaps take steps to reduce these operating costs.

So it was that Charles and I cooked up a project to examine how software technology could help the typical small/medium business to reduce energy costs and impact the bottom line.

I have donated an Efergy device, which Quorum will be using to baseline the energy costs of running their server infrastructure. Then over the coming months, Charles will investigate the following:

  • looking closely at each server to understand what it is doing and when it is fully utilised - using Microsoft System Center tools
  • taking advantage of Windows Server 2008 Hyper-V technology to "virtualise" servers where possible to reduce the number of servers
  • utilising management software tools like Microsoft Virtual Machine Manager to bring virtual servers online only when needed

Charles will be reporting back through the pages of Technology Trumpet....watch this space.

Iceland. reykjavik_210x150

 

Thoughts of bargain supermarket frozen turkey twizzlers, Viking epics, alternative rock band The Sugarcubes, may all be triggered when naming this barren and volcanic North Atlantic island nation.

 

But soon Iceland may also be known as a world centre for International Datacenter operations. According to PWC, abundant geothermal energy, generous tax incentives for the industry,  and plenty of submarine optic fibre connecting it to the USA and UK, make it the most competitive location to stick your servers.

Cost-qual

 

The trend towards siting the massive centralised computing resources which support “Web 2.0” close to sources of cheap power and good Internet connectivity is well documented. So far in October George Gilder wrote of ”The Information Factories” in Wired, and in Hi-Tech Scotland mag columnist Colin Walker wrote of the power supply issue for IT datacentres in an article which reflected many of the ideas and data points in my post on Renewable Energy Datacentres.

 

Iceland and The Scottish Highlands and Islands have much in common - both are geographically remote with a population of about 300,000, both have abundant cheap energy potential (Scotland with 25% of Europes renewable capacity, and Iceland with Volcanoes and geothermal energy plants). Both are unable to fully capitalise on their energy generation capacity, because they can't efficiently transmit the power to major points of energy consumption. In Rekjavik , they have so much energy they even heat the pavements.

 

However, Iceland has a vision to drive investment in the Internet infrastructure required to capitalise on their natural resources, including investment in the dark fibre required to ensure they are not an Internet backwater like the Scottish Highlands and Islands area. In addition to the existing FARICE connection  to the UK via the Faroes and Orkney, those wealthy Icelanders are making the appropriate investment in capacity to link themselves to Europe and the USA through Northern Ireland. http://www.hiberniaatlantic.com/documents/8607-IcelandPR-JSAFinal.pdf

 

Upgrading Scotlands more remote regions Internet connectivity would not only help the Scottish Government reach its broadband penetration objectives, but would take advantage of our natural assets to support ventures in a new growth industry. Further sighted governments such as that of Iceland understand this opportunity, and are making the appropriate investment.

 

Scotland has an advantage over Iceland as a datacenter location - Iceland is a dangerous place to be in geographic terms. Just over 200 years ago a volcanic eruption killed 20% of Icelands population. The ex-citizens of Pompei, South Washington state (nr Mount St. Helens), Sumatra and Java might have strong opinions on where to place datacentres to offer best business continuity.

 

USACE_Astoria-Megler_Bridge At the age of 24 I rode my bike across the 6.5km Columbia River bridge between Oregon and Washington state. Big river, big bridge. I remember thinking it would make a damn :-) good power plant.

Upriver, past Portland and  in the shadow of Mount Hood, I hear Google have constructed a 30 acre server farm near the Dalles Dam, just one of several 2 gigawatt hydroelectric schemes up the Columbia gorge.

High bandwidth reliable networks, and the migration of computing power to "web services" in the cloud, mean that one should generally put servers next to cheap power. As long as the datacentre has the appropriate connectivity, the huge capacity and speed of global optical networks mean processing is best placed close to the power, rather than close to the people.

If such dam-envy seems dangerously close to train-spotting, consider that your average punter is now an enthusiastic user of web services like search engines, Internet mail/IM,  and web mapping services.

Likewise IT Professionals are increasingly drawn to the irresistible logic of consuming services like email security and management (Exchange Hosted Services) and online Meeting services (Live Meeting) from "the cloud". Its far more efficient and effective to run these generic services centrally in a massively scaled, highly automated datacentre. This tallies up with the traditional business view of outsourcing "non-core" activities like payroll, security, catering, and PC desktop support.

Based on the success of companies like Salesforce, and huge investment from Microsoft, Google and others, it seems that in the next 2 to 5 years will see significant uptake of IT services that are remotely hosted and internet delivered. With data spread across the Internet, and applications running across the browser, desktop and remote datacentres, black-shirt wearing dot-com entrepreneurs have come up with new terms to describe the social and IT phenomenon's like "Web 2.0" and "cloud computing".

Microsoft's Software + Services mantra is a reflection of these new architectures, with some people factors thrown in - users can only use applications which are simple and familiar, and IT people want choice of where they put their servers (in their offices, centrally hosted in a datacenter, or completely outsourced to the cloud).

What this means in practical terms is that we will increasingly depend on 100,000-system datacentres, where automation and economies of scale drive down the cost of these services compared to the in-house IT approach. Microsoft's has a dual role in this - firstly to provide energy and effort efficient platforms and automated management tools, and secondly to provide the tools and building block services which enable this new S+S world.

Image:Epa-archives the dalles dam-cropped.jpgWhich brings us back to the Columbia River. One issue with the above is the growing power consumption of datacentres globally. George Gilder in Wired magazine recently estimated that the datacentres of the 5 leading search engines consume around 5 Gigawatts of power, counting servers, storage, cooling, and the inefficiencies of the grid's power transmission. Compare that to the 60GW peak demand on the UK national grid, and global energy requirements of datacentres can only grow as the global interweb's consumption of these services increases. Power accounts for around 40% of the overall running costs of the typical datacentre, a proportion which will only increase as energy prices increase and improved technology and automation reduce staff costs.

The moral of the story is that building your datacentres next to sources of cheap, clean power, makes good fiscal sense, and gives you a nice warm feeling about doing your bit for the planet.

imageScotland, and in particular Orkney, Shetland and the Western Isles,  has extraordinary renewable energy generation potential. Scotland has an estimated potential of 36.5 GW of wind and 7.5 GW of tidal power, 25% of the estimated total capacity for the European Union and up to 14 GW of wave power potential, 10% of EU capacity. Despite this the Scottish government have set modest targets for 6GW from renewable schemes by 2020.

Sadly, the costs and planning issues of grid connection can have an impact on their financial viability and social acceptability. But to overcome these grid-connection issues, why not consume the power at source by placing computing power close to point of generation? The Highlands and Islands region is blessed with lower temperatures and freely available water supplies (to aid cooling), cheaper than average labour, and plenty of tidal, wave, hydro and wind gen capacity.

concentro01_lgSuch a scheme could use self-contained, modular and portable container-based datacenters to overcome the logistical and skills issues, and allow the Highlands and Islands area to quickly capitalise on its sources of cheap and renewable power.

Container datacentre solutions allow a fully functional datacentre to be dropped in remote locations close to inexpensive power. Rackable systems unveiled such a solution recently, and James Hamilton of Microsoft, who frequently speaks about his ideas for the commodity datacentre, reckons that this approach can help overcome the myriad of political and logistical issues that surround datacentres and their power needs.

Power is currently about 40% of the cost of running a datacentre. With rising fossil energy costs, decreasing hardware/software costs, and decreasing staff costs through automation, this proportion will only increase unless abundant cheap power is nearby.

Coupling renewable energy with the commodity datacenter makes sense to meet our renewable energy goals, create a new source of employment and income for Scotland, and help bridge the predicted 20% " UK energy gap" by 2015.

Perhaps its time for Scotland to look towards the Renewable Energy Datacentre.

In Finland its completely Baltic from about October to April. So it is that they make the best of the Scandinavian Summer and the entire workforce downs tools for July and as much of August as they can get away with.

So it is that the pages of the Trumpet have been neglected whilst I observed the Scandinavian summer holiday habit. I've divided my time between the yearly Estonian holiday with Mrs. Ferry and the cost centres, then the Microsoft Partner Conference in Denver, CO.

Throughout the summer I was struck by the increasing awareness and press comment on energy issues and global warming. Even in the USA, Mr. Bush has finally taken an interest and called a conference in Washington to discuss how carbon emissions can be capped, although in a typical Bushism it conflicts with the UN's own climate change conference up the road in New York.

Of course the President's changing mood is as much about energy security as about reducing emissions. Western society is a global patio heater burning fossil fuels like there is no tomorrow, and much of the global energy supplies are not under U.S. control. Mr. Putin has maneuvered Russia into a powerful position where it can hold net energy importers to ransom , and recently annexed an oil rich area half the size of Europe under the North Pole. Meanwhile Mr.Bush is exploring Mars.

The political desire for energy independence was in evidence during my trip to Estonia this year. No doubt wary of the Russian clout wielded over Georgia and Ukraine last year when Russia turned off the gas taps when it was -10 outside, Estonia is at pains to reduce the dependence on Russian gas supplies. Currently it generates 2.5% of its requirement from Wind energy, but is lucky to have oil shale reserves which meet about 75% of its energy requirements. However, an ambitious project to erect a wind farm in the Baltic sea to the NorthWest of the beautiful isle of Hiiumaa will have a capacity of 1GW from 200 big windmills, and be connected to Baltic capitals Tallinn, Stockholm and Helsinki. That's about the capacity of your average nuclear power station, and should fill the gap nicely to ensure that Estonia does not share the Ukraine's chilly fate as an energy hostage of the Kremlin.

Several small countries long ago realized that a forward-looking energy policy is vital to national security, like Denmark (75% wind) and Finland (nuclear and biomass, lots of trees in Finland). Sadly Scotland's has thus far failed to take advantage of the staggering opportunity from renewable energy capacity and the remaining North Sea reserves - the UK is a net importer of energy, relying on an extension lead from the French (80% nuclear) power stations, and foreign gas and coal supplies.

But the trouble with wind is that  it doesn't always blow....

This is a shame, as if these Wind Energy plants were spinning at maximum capacity all the time, they would be ideal to meet societies base load power requirements. Base load requirements refer to the always-on power requirements, ignoring the peaks of energy usage when everyone switches on the kettle in the morning. Computing and high-tech devices left switched on are making an ever increasing contribution to these requirements. According to Colin Pykett in Physics World devices in the home on standby (such as PCs, DVD players, Freeview set top boxes, even Microsoft Home Servers) typically contribute to a household standby power usage of around 100W. Multiply by the number of households in the UK, and you need 2GW of capacity just to keep the green LED switched on your flatscreen telly. That's another 2 coal-fired power stations!

As Web 2.0 makes its dramatic effect on society and business, consider also the growing requirements of the computing power in Internet datacentres. Society expects these resources to be available 24/7, which translates to huge requirements for the energy inefficient server rooms (I blogged on this back in March). The effect of rising energy costs now drives AMD and Intel to compete based on performance-per-watt and energy efficiency rather than absolute speed. AMD recently stole the moral high ground by announcing low power quad core chips which are backwards compatible with Opteron architectures but with 25% more performance-per-watt than the nearest Intel chip. Much of the energy requirement in the server room is waste - server power supplies are typically only 80% efficient, and with current hardware/software processors don't use much less energy when not fully utilised.

Microsoft's Bill Laing, GM of the Server division and a Scottish ex-pat, recently claimed that Windows Server 2008 (the artist formerly known as Longhorn) should knock a further 20% off power requirements. Firstly through Virtualisation technologies, processors will be more fully utilised. Server core installation means that superfluous processes are trimmed away for a given physical or virtual OS image, reducing processor load and power usage. Finally by better taking advantage of the AMD and Intel processor P-state features, the OS can dynamically flick the processor into a lower power usage state during short periods of lower utilisation.

Which brings us back to Hiiumaa, Estonia and wind farms. All the above adds up to a growing base load power needs to keep the economy ticking over. Airtricity, who operate many wind farms in Scotland, Ireland, US and mainland Europe,  have an idea for how Wind Energy could address this, and overcome the vagaries of the weather. They have an ambitious plan to build a European Supergrid. The basic idea is that as it is always blowing somewhere in the weather systems of continental Europe, electricity can be transported to regions of demand to support Europe's base load power needs - and ultimately create an energy trading network providing 30% of the continents power.

Before any Electrical Power Engineers cry foul, there are some technological advances which make this viable. In the past it has been inefficient to transmit power over the long distances between countries. This is because the conventional High Voltage AC power lines become less efficient over long distances, and generally start to peg out after around 200km. Instead Airtricity plan to use High Voltage DC lines, which remain over 90% efficient after 1000km. That this can now be achieved economically is all down to Thyristor Valves. I believe these were used along with the Flux Capacitor in the construction of the Back to the Future time-travelling DeLorean, and if you are interested in the science, take a look at this white paper

Come to think of it, could it be viable to take DC straight to the billions of devices which use it (like all PCs, servers and consumer electronic devices) rather than wastefully convert 240V AC to 5 or 12V DC in billions of inefficient power supplies? Many companies, including Rackable systems the DC powered server supplier, and  Moixa energy Ltd, who brought the USB battery to market, and seem to think so.

The internal affairs of the small Baltic republic of Estonia hit the global news headlines in April when its ethnic Russian minority rioted in protest of the removal of a Red army war memorial.

Estonian capital Tallinn Police face protesters in TallinnMemorial to Soviet soldiers in Tallinn, Estonia

As a resident of another small country, I know that the weight of history can cause a difficult relationship with a more powerful neighbor. But Culloden was 350 years ago - for some ethnic Estonians the demise of the 1st Estonian republic and mass deportations following the 2nd World War are still within living memory. (Disclaimer: Regular readers of this column will know that as Mrs Ferry hails from Estonia, I may express some bias.)

The Kremlin's response to these events bordered on the sinister, with threatened sanctions and a failure to defend the Estonian embassy in Moscow against pro-Kremlin youth groups. Its all a bit scary for a country of 1.3 million people positioned next to the Kremlin's military might, which perhaps Estonian PM Andrus Ansip should have considered before he started baiting the Russian bear by removing the statue of the Red Army soldier.

Meanwhile back in the UK the Baltic political situation is of some interest to any follower of international news, but more significantly we may just have witnessed the first CyberWar on record. By mid-May it became apparent that Estonian government, media, email and commercial web servers were under a deliberate and targeted attack. These took the form of massive spam attacks on government email servers, distributed denial of service attacks on key Internet banking sites, and hacking/defacement of significant websites such as the ruling political parties homepage.

Estonia is possibly the most switched on of the EU countries in terms of penetration of paperless government, web-based banking and ambitious plans for country-wide WiMAX networks. So the Estonian government considered this a substantial threat to national security, and didn't take long to call in the Internet security spooks from NATO, Israel and elsewhere. The attacks peaked around the time of the Russian Victory Day public holiday on May 9th. The most damaging attack was probably on national bank Hansapank's website, which was forced to shut down for an hour - and for a week or so afterwards, I found that along with all foreign IP addresses, I had been blocked from their Internet banking site - a simple but effective line of defence. The skills and preparedness of Estonian companies, their IT security experts, and the swift response of international partners were all instrumental in avoiding more serious consequences.

Whilst there was some evidence that these attacks were Kremlin sponsored, as any Internet security expert will tell you, the use of Botnet's and Zombies around the World makes the ultimate source of the attack almost impossible to identify. But its clear that this was an orchestrated and organised attack, and was a highly successful terrorist attack on a sovereign state. The Kremlin has denied all involvement, but conspiracy theorists will point the finger at Putin following the Alexander Litvinenko affair. And now there is even now some evidence of counter-attacks from Estonia 

What this situation has graphically illustrated is that IT Security is no longer an issue which is only important to Chief Security Officers and IT Security propeller-heads. Scotland's top technology journalist Bill Magee pointed out that "CORPORATE Scotland [...] could be hit by exactly the same sort of cyber criminal attack that brought state and commercial website systems crashing to a halt"  

Here in Microsoft Scotland, we continue to invest in our network of Partner companies with the Security Solutions competency. These companies have proven skills and experience in design and deployment of the security infrastructure, policy and tools. With the availability of Forefront Client Security, Microsoft is unique in providing a comprehensive line of business security tools which can help Corporate Scotland establish robust Internet defenses.

Only with the right partners, skills and tools will we keep the zombies at bay.

Link to The St. Petersburg Times - Top Stories - Estonian Claims Kremlin Behind Attacks on Web Sites

Link to Scotland Warned of attack by Zombies

Starting a business is hard. Making it successful and keeping it growing is harder.

In our Global Village even smallest business must constantly keep in touch with the competition, the changing market, and find new customers and opportunities. Certainly that's been the experience of Mrs. Ferry since starting out in business 12 months ago.

Thus the role of the Scottish Chambers of Commerce is key - they support indigenous business, represent them at political and international level, and provide a vital network for entrepreneurs to collaborate, establish new partnerships and find new customers.

The Chambers is a venerable institution with 10,000s of company members across Scottish Small, Medium and Enterprise business, accounting for well over half of the private sector jobs in Scotland. They are seen as an exemplar for Chambers of Commerce organisations worldwide, and engage in productive relationships with their business partners such as Microsoft. Indeed HRH The Princess Royal, President of the Scottish Chambers, summed it up when she said:

The work of the Chambers of Commerce is very worthy of our support, as they exist to promote businesses locally, nationally and internationally. Scotland’s Chambers of Commerce are well placed to assist businesses of all sizes to help expand their activities at home and overseas using the worldwide network of Chambers of Commerce.

Liz Cameron, Executive Director of Scottish Chambers, knows that the Chambers must evolve from its regional footing to meet the changing needs of their members, and the evolving challenges of business.

When a delegation of the regional Scottish Chamber organisations visited the Microsoft UK head office late last year to discuss these challenges, she explained to me that the benefits of Chamber membership must be national and international rather than locally focussed - the ability to deliver services efficiently to their membership at a national level could make the Chambers network more modern and efficient, and help grow membership and spread benefits to a larger audience. Liz announced her planned shakeup and Microsoft's role in Scotland on Sunday a few weeks back.

Technology has an important role to play as the Chambers modernise and confirm their role amongst other business membership and networking organisations, and online business networking services.

The impact of social network services on business has been huge - LinkedIn now has over 10 million users, mostly in the United States of America  http://money.cnn.com/magazines/business2/business2_archive/2006/12/01/8394967/index.htm

Many believe social networks are for teenagers and blind daters. However, business social networks allow members to describe themselves and their companies services, and invite people they know and respect to "connect" and be part of their network. They can then recommend and introduce colleagues on a global scale, creating an efficient business network and thus oiling the cogs of the free market economy. Such networks rely on 6 degrees of separation theory which assert that any 2 individuals are connected by at most 6 others.

LinkedIn registration is free, but it soon makes money out of members through advertising (based on the topics in a member's description). Some members, such as those involved in recruitment,  pay for "added value" membership services (such as searching for individuals outwith the immediate business network).

Meanwhile back in Scotland, the Chambers position is unique. Hundreds of years old, and with an long established membership and reputation, most people join the Chambers for the networking opportunity of Scottish Chambers events and are already willing to pay membership fees for the privilege. 

Taking the Chambers membership online, and activating member online social networking would drive more members of the network, establish a positive feedback loop to make the network more valuable and even provide an online channel for foreign business to find the right skills and resources to trade in Scotland.

With this in mind Microsoft Scotland have just completed the "proof of concept" Scottish Chambers members Portal - codenamed CONNECTIONS - to deliver a unified set of member services, and the Chambers shop window to the world. This portal takes advantage of Microsoft Office SharepointConnections Members network Server collaboration and portal capabilities, and was delivered in collaboration with David Elder, Technical Director of Scottish Chambers.

CONNECTIONS provides the rich set of Chambers services at a national level:

  • Members can gain access to specialist news and articles based on their industry area. They can engage in industry or job function specific discussion forums to get questions answered.
  • They can search the member directory to find skills and business partners to help advance their enterprise
  • To support the Chambers role in influencing policy, members opinions can quickly be polled using online surveys

Most exciting though, is the opportunity to build online connections between members to build informal business networks. Existing members can send an invitation email to those colleagues not already in the Chambers to join the network as a registered online member. Members will more readily reach the skills, experience and assets of corporate Scotland.

This could be the "killer app" driving Chambers membership, and perhaps making Connections the LinkedIn of Scotland.

Ultimately this will drive a more efficient market and support the entrepreneurship which will build Scotland's impact on the world business stage.Connections home page

With Scotland's skilled business players online and linked via the Connections portal, there is fantastic opportunity for business people who wish to give something back to society by sharing their skills and experience. Connections could support other organisations which support Scottish entrepeneurialism in small an startup business, such as Local Enterprise Companies, Scottish Enterprise Business Gateway, and the fantastic work of Prince's Scottish Youth Business Trust.

If Scottish Chambers can move quickly, my colleagues and I believe that Connections presents a fantastic opportunity for the Chambers network in Scotland to re-establish and re-invigorate its role at the centre of business life, and potentially become THE business portal for Scotland.

The respected Dr. Clayton, of Geek in disguise fame is an old chum of mine. Recently he drew attention to my advancing years, and posted a picture of me wearing Mrs. Ferry's checked skirt at the weekend.

Despite his current reputation for sartorial elegance and high-tech gadgets, I knew him when he wore short trousers and turned up at customer meetings in an ex National Coal Board donkey jacket.

I've watched Steve's Blue Monster phenomenon gather momentum and prove the reach of grass roots viral marketing. So I thought I would try a similar experiment. To that end I will be auctioning off signing lithographs of the image below - starting price $200. Please submit your bids.

pants

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Regular readers of this column will be aware of Mrs. Ferry's limited grasp of technology, so she of course immediately turned to her in-house IT provider. However, as a busy executive at the cutting edge of high-tech, I am of course too busy cutting million dollar deals and mixing with captains of industry to do anything as mundane as set up a website or register an email domain. As for backing up files in case the kids knock a glass of milk over the laptop  - completely out of the question.

It has therefore been interesting to help Mrs. Ferry start a new business over the past year or so. The Kurekodu property business, like most microbusinesses, needed

  • a website to attract and inform potential clients, and give the feel of a well-run and professional outfit
  • a "corporate sounding" URL and email address....(e.g. CHiefExecutive@WeAreABigReputableCompany.COM style)
  • somewhere safe to store all the invoices, marketing and financial business documents being generated

So Office Live was a means to obtain a professional result with the minimum of time invested. Office Live lets one-man-bands and microbusiness get online in a matter of minutes, with a minimum of IT savvy required. It's going live on May 23rd, although already there are around 1800 Scottish businesses online with Office Live websites. (Including the highly informative and successful Just Winches site - if you find yourself in need of a winch, that's the place to go)

This "quick and easy" appeal has been borne out by the Kurekodu experience. After registering for the Office Live Premium service, the Kurekodu website was up and running within 2 hours, built using the Office Live Web Designer. This is a simple, elegant AJAX browser based application, which lets business owners define a simple theme and navigation for their site, and create a basic set of professional looking pages. That is a real boon for the small business owner, whom without the luxury of an IT department, would normally have to pay for a web designer to do this, and understand the more arcane aspects of registering domain names etc.

Even the non-techno-savvy Mrs. Ferry regularly uses this application to modify the property for sale web page when Kurekodu offers a new property for sale or rent. The Web Designer also let her quickly "sex up" the website, with animated picture galleries and simple web forms which send an alert email when a customer makes a web enquiry.

She was also delighted to purchase further domains (making the site available over kurekodu.co.uk, kurekodu.com and houseinestonia.com) addresses to make the site easier to find, and having registered on Google and Windows Live Search engines, is building up the site to make it top of the pops for likely internet searches.

However, apart from the ease of establishing an effective internet shop front, the most dramatically useful aspects of Office Live have been its business applications.

Office Live gives businesses not only a public-facing website, but also supports secure workspaces for documents, contacts, lists, photos  - indeed any kind of business information. Kurekodu's MD (the technophobe Mrs. Ferry) and her associates in Estonia use this to collaboratively create particulars for properties for sale, and to build invoices for the companies' services. These are all secured using Windows Live ID (formerly passport) and kept up on the Kurekodu private site where they are safe, backed up, without the version confusion caused by email tennis.

What's more, these important business documents can be shared securely with customers (indeed anybody signed up for a Windows Live ID), so they can track service charges for their investments under Kurekodu's management. That's a secure extranet collaboration solution delivered at a miniscule IT cost.

But Office Live Business Applications are the really exciting area for small businesses. These make available powerful business tools to the small business previously available only to companies with £10,000s a year to spend on IT. Kurekodu runs a simple Accounting application on Office Live, to maintain profit/loss account for each property investment, or client property under management. Its by no means a complex application, but is customised to the company's business niche, is an online, hosted application and hence available to all staff regardless of where they are based, and works offline through its integration with Access 2007. Currently Kurekodu's hard working IT Director (yours truly) is building a Reporting application so that the MD can be kept properly informed of the profitability of each customer and property investment.

As Office Live is built on the Windows Sharepoint Services 2007 platform, these powerful business application capabilities will come as no surprise to any of Microsoft's Business Partners. Many are already building Office Live solutions to take their applications downstream and target smaller business customers, such as Solution Canvas with Justia , whom I blogged about a while back. Such industry-focused applications used to automate business processes without having any nasty servers or difficult software applications to install, made available by subscription, are very attractive to small businesses with no time or funds to invest in an overly complex IT strategy.

Clearly for any Small business IT company Office Live and services like it cannot be ignored. Despite its limitations today, for many small businesses this is enough to support business functions with the minimum of fuss. Clearly its a case of Office Live or Die...

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