Six Reasons Why Microsoft’s Hyper-V Will Overtake VMware to Become the Major Player in the x86 Server Virtualization Marketplace

Six Reasons Why Microsoft’s Hyper-V Will Overtake VMware to Become the Major Player in the x86 Server Virtualization Marketplace

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EMC’s VMware subsidiary has become the information technology (IT) industry’s darling when it comes to providing software that virtualizes (pools) x86-based server hardware resources. VMware has experienced a meteoric and virtually unchallenged ride to the top of the x86 virtualization market, largely due to its strategic vision (VMware saw the vast growth potential for virtualization software when other competitors did not), its innovation, and its solid marketing/sales execution. But Clabby Analytics (that’s me) believes that VMware’s free ride is about to come to an end. With the introduction of Hyper-V by Microsoft, VMware is about to experience some very serious competition from a vendor with deep pockets, with a massive worldwide marketing and sales organization, with major market penetration across Fortune 500 and small and medium business markets, and with extensive and complementary infrastructure and management product depth. In this Market Analysis report, Clabby Analytics explains why I believe that Hyper-V will be overtake VMware in just a few years to become the x86 server virtualization market’s leader.

Removed (that's me) to avoid any confusion.

  • The link seems to be broken :(

  • For your pricing analysis to be more realistic, the comparison should have been for 2 procs because you compared MS at 1 proc DC and VMware at 2 proc.  Since most data centers use 2 proc systems these days, using 1 proc comparison is not what IT buyers cut purchase orders for or can directly compare in the real world.

  • Microsoft has ww top shelf marketing and sales teams that can essentially sell anything good or bad that comes from their company. I dont believe that VMware knows what is coming. They seemed steeped in their own arrogance.  It will be an interesting fight. Also, let's not forget Citrix.

  • May I suppose, that if you would get different results for your research (ket's say "Six Reasons Why VMware Will Overtake Hyper-V") you would be fired?

  • Hi JohnD,

    I'd just like to clarify that it's not my report. It was written by Clabby Analytics - Clabby Analytics is an independent, one-man information technology (IT) research and analysis firm that specializes in systems architectures (microprocessors, blades, midrange systems, high-end systems and mainframes); in CVP (consolidation, virtualization, and provisioning); and in “green” (environmentally-focused) computing.

    And no, you may suppose not :)

  • As most things in life, I think this report is partially right and partially wrong. The landscape in the large Enterprise has changed quite a bit in the last couple of years. Microsoft does NOT have the power and "good name" it used to have. You can see more and more Linux penetration in places that never had it before, and you see CIOs considering technologies from much smaller companies than they used to. Heck, even Mac has started to pop up as a real option in the desktop.

    The report is right in pointing out a risk for VMware if they don't continue to execute flawlessly as they have so far, but it doesn't consider the overwhelming technological superiority of VMware in this field. Feature-by-feature comparison leaves Microsoft in the dust. In fact, Hyper-V is a shame of a product for a 1.0 version feature-wise. I'm sure MS could have done much better if they would take virtualization seriously and would not be bogged down with 10 wars in 10 fronts. Reliability is the name of the game for IT in a cost-cutting economy, and VMware absolutely rocks in that area. It's a "safe bet" for CIOs that don't want to attract negative attention to IT.

    On the pricing perspective, the big thing this report does not consider is oversuscription, and the effect this has in the company's chargeback model. Because VMware can run a much larger number of VMs due to their patented memory management technologies, the price per VM at comparable performance is substantially lower, bringing the whole solution down to a much more manageable cost.

    On the training note, VMware's VirtualCenter management software is a Windows application, with completely Windows look-and-field, and by first hand experience, it's much easier to work with than System Center. Try it yourself.

    I don't want to write a testament here, but I could go on and on as this reports has too many assumptions and classic narrow-minded problems. Just remember one thing: when MS was giving RDP-based terminal services for free with the OS, companies still kept buying Citrix Metaframe, because it was flat out better.

  • The publisher of this article has an email address.  Need I say more?

  • I don't think this guy has ever used VMware products ...

    "Examples include VMware Converter (which helps manage other virtual hypervisors — but currently doesn’t manage Hyper-V); VMware Capacity Planner; and VMware ACE (used for desktop virtualization)."

    VMware Converter is not used to manage other virtual hypervisors, its used for making Physical-to-Virtual conversions and others. Nothing to do with managing!

    Good point on the address Trey!

  • In the opening paragraph of the article you say "this article was written by Clabby Analytics (that's me)".

    If you click on the "About Me" tab on the top of this page it starts "My names John Westworth and I work for Microsoft in the UK..."

    So how is this different from a Microsoft employee writing this article?

  • I don't see performance benchmarks, a side-by-side comparison of feature sets, estimated costs, or customer survey results.  The great thing about conjecture is that you don't really have to justify your opinion with facts.  To call this an "analysis," however, is an insult to the people who have taken the time to read it.

    Certainly, VMware has had a pretty easy time selling their solutions so far, which is one of the benefits of being the first to market.  While Microsoft will certainly offer some competition, it doesn't look like their first version of Hyper-V is there yet.  It lacks the functionality and performance of VMware's offerings.  While some small IT shops who do not currently have virtualization may adopt Hyper-V due to convenience and familiarity with the vendor, I'm skeptical that organizations who want to virtualize large data centers in a big way will choose Microsoft to do so.  I also don't believe that Microsoft (yet) poses any serious threat of replacing VMware products in data centers that already use them.

    VMware is run by smart (arrogant or not) people.  They're no doubt aware of the imminent competition, and what will happen to VMware if they cannot continue to innovate and provide compelling value to customers.  If VMware and Microsoft (and Citrix?) can all survive in the virtualization market, the competition will compel technological advancement and lower pricing.  In the end, that would be a great situation for IT consumers.

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